If you feel like you’re under fire from every direction at once, you probably are.

Not from one thing moving faster — from many things moving simultaneously, with the intervals between them compressing toward zero. Technology reshaping industries. Political structures buckling under information that moves faster than institutions can process. Skills you built over a decade facing obsolescence in months. These aren’t separate disruptions happening to coincide. They’re the same underlying dynamic showing up everywhere.

Every generation has felt this way. The mechanization of agriculture, the industrial revolution, the arrival of the internet — each brought its own version of the feeling that the ground was shifting too fast. There’s a reasonable case that what I’m describing is just the latest round of the same old anxiety, dressed up in new vocabulary. It doesn’t hold — not because this time is special in some mystical way, but because of compound math.

Acceleration has always been positive. But compound growth is deceptive — first slow, then fast. For most of human history, the rate of change was imperceptible within a single lifetime. Ideas traveled by letter. Scientific breakthroughs took decades to diffuse. A person could learn a trade in their youth and practice it, largely unchanged, until retirement. The acceleration was real but the curve was still in its shallow phase. You couldn’t feel it.

We’re no longer in the shallow phase.

Every technology follows an S-curve — rapid improvement, then diminishing returns, then a plateau. No single technology accelerates forever. But the rate at which new curves begin is itself compounding. We are pushing on more frontiers simultaneously, with more effort and more people, than at any point in history. And when those curves overlap — when the plateau of one coincides with the steep ascent of another — the aggregate effect is a world in constant motion. Not one gale that intensifies but many gales blowing at once, with the calms between them shrinking.

Even if every frontier stalled tomorrow, the diffusion of what already exists would still be reshaping industries for years. Neural networks as a concept sat dormant from the 1980s until hardware and data caught up in the 2010s. Three independent trajectories converged. What looked like a sudden leap was latent potential finally becoming viable. The world hasn’t finished absorbing the internet, let alone AI. A frozen frontier still produces disruption downstream — existing innovations finding new applications, entering new industries, recombining into things their inventors never anticipated.

Schumpeter, writing in 1942, called this the “perennial gale of creative destruction.” But his theory was actually episodic — long waves of disruption followed by periods of consolidation where the new structures settled and stabilized. The gale blew, and then it calmed, and then it blew again. The metaphor promised continuity. The model described cycles.

I think the metaphor has finally caught up with reality. The waves are overlapping. The consolidation phase — the window where you could absorb the last disruption before the next one hit — is compressing toward nothing. The gale has become genuinely perennial.


I run a bootstrapped software company approaching its tenth year. The moats I spent a decade building — domain expertise, institutional knowledge, customer relationships — held through shifts in technology and market downturns. Whether they hold through the next twelve months is a question I sit with. SaaS businesses that seemed structurally secure a few years ago are being hollowed out by AI coding agents that don’t come from within the industry at all. The attacks arrive from directions you weren’t watching.

The political landscape moves to the same rhythm. Structures that survived decades of pressure are being stress-tested and subverted at speeds that feel genuinely new. The liberal international order that took seventy-five years to build is being dismantled within the span of a few presidencies. Technology plays a role — ideas and narratives disseminate at a pace that outstrips the capacity of institutions designed for a slower world.

If it feels like a lot is happening, it’s because the ground is actually moving.

I used to dismiss ideas like the singularity without much thought. I still don’t believe in it — not as a prediction, not as a timeline. But I notice that the ghosts of it feel more real than they did a few years ago. The curve is steep enough that things I once considered safely theoretical have moved to the edge of my peripheral vision.