Threads

The ideas that connect these essays to each other.

Click a thread to trace it across the archive, or click any essay to see where it connects.

Feedback Loops4
The Knowing-Doing Gap4
Irreversibility3
Structural Forces5
The Map & the Territory3

Accidental Complexity

Political systems accumulate complexity the way codebases accumulate technical debt. The answer isn't to tear them down or keep piling on. It's to refactor.

The Knowing-Doing Gap Structural Forces

Holding the Whole

AI dissolves accidental complexity at speed, but essential complexity — the question of whether it all adds up to something good — remains stubbornly human.

Feedback Loops The Map & the Territory

The Architect's Exit

Kissinger defined a revolutionary power as one that rejects the legitimacy of the order it inhabits — then spent his career building America's. What happens when his framework fits its own architect?

The Knowing-Doing Gap Irreversibility Structural Forces

Soft Landings

I spent almost two decades loyal to one airline alliance — then the program changed its rules, and I started gliding away so quietly they'll never know I left.

Irreversibility The Map & the Territory

Staying in the Water

What building a bootstrapped company actually feels like after nearly a decade — not the VC default, not the indie hacker fantasy, but the uncomfortable middle where most of the building happens.

Structural Forces

Blast Radius

AI can reproduce substantial software systems. The moat against substitution scales with the blast radius of failure — but the line between what's safe and what's vulnerable keeps moving.

Feedback Loops Irreversibility The Map & the Territory

The Absorption Gap

Four scenarios for how AI gets absorbed into the real world — and why all four are happening at once.

Feedback Loops The Knowing-Doing Gap

Writing With Machines

I've always used writing to think. This time I'm using AI to write — not to produce text faster, but to think harder.

Feedback Loops

Collapsing Cycles

Cycles are getting shorter everywhere — in careers, in technology, in how organizations work. A decades-old Marine Corps doctrine saw it first, and its insights about coordination under pressure feel uncomfortably relevant to building software with AI.

The Knowing-Doing Gap Structural Forces

The Perpetual Gale

The disruptions have started to overlap. If the world feels like it's accelerating, it probably is.

Structural Forces